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CFP Thoughts

Well….that was….anticlimactic. ND vs Indiana This was….yeah. At the end of the day, Indiana looked overmatched in the 1st and 3rd quarters of the game. The final score didn’t reflect how much Notre Dame controlled this game. Penn State vs SMU Not much to say here. Penn State absolutely throttled SMU. Texas vs Clemson This […]

Final CFP Projections

So this is the final ranking and this is CLOSE. Really close. I could see this going either way with Alabama as the first team out and SMU as the last team in. I said Clemson would need to win in a blowout in order for Bama to be comfortably in last week, but this […]

Opponent Adjusted EPA/Play – Week 7

Chart time! P4 and G5 on separate charts. Top right: Good offense/defense Top left: Good offense/poor defense Bottom right: Good defense/poor offense Bottom left: HALP! SEC: B1G: Big 12: ACC: Notre Dame: Sun Belt: AAC: Conference USA: FBS Independents: MAC: Mountain West:

Week 6 2024 (or 2007?) Recap

Boy. That escalated quickly. That got out of hand fast. Teams that were ranked 1 through 11 were not safe against unranked opponents. So how crazy did it get? This was the biggest one of them all. Alabama was a three touchdown favorite, ranked #1 and fresh off their win against Georgia. What happened Saturday […]

Opponent Adjusted EPA/Play – Week 6

Chart time! This time, it’s strictly P4 and G5 on separate charts. Top right: Good offense/defense Top left: Good offense/poor defense Bottom right: Good defense/poor offense Bottom left: HALP! SEC: ACC: Big 12: Big Ten: Notre Dame: Sun Belt: AAC: Mountain West: FBS Independents: MACTION: C-USA:

Week 5 Recap (Mostly Bama/Georgia) and Post Game Win Expectancies

Wow. Wow. Wow. Wow. Holy cow. What a game. This was an instant classic and I know that is thrown around a lot, but my goodness, this game delivered the goods. You can look at the box score and you can easily tell where the game got bad for Georgia, when they made their comeback, […]

Week 6 Ratings

Most Improved Teams From Last Week Most Improved Teams Through the Season Least Improved Teams From Last Week Least Improved Teams Through the Season

Opponent Adjusted EPA/Play – Week 5

Top Right: + Offense, + Defense Bottom Right: – Offense, + Defense Top Left: + Offense, – Defense Bottom Left: HALP! SEC The bloc of Ole Miss, Alabama, Tennessee, and Texas is interesting to watch. Georgia is not far off, but Arkansas making the top right quadrant is something I didn’t expect to see. Also, […]

Week 5 Ratings

Once again, not a poll, but a power rating to determine who would be favored in a neutral field. Most Improved Teams Least Improved Teams

Week 4 Ratings

Somebody from ESPN decided to change their database over the weekend for no reason so it caused a manual update.